Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy PDF
by S.O. Funtowicz, J.R. Ravetz
Part of the Theory and Decision Library A: series
Description
60 -I 137.0~29 ERROR BARS * tONE (1" \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \ Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ ~ \ ~20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1.
Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B.
N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer.
Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences.
It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP.
Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers.
There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark.
There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts' guesses can be translated into mathematical form.
Information
-
Download - Immediately Available
- Format:PDF
- Publisher:Springer Netherlands
- Publication Date:06/12/2012
- Category:
- ISBN:9789400906211
Other Formats
- Hardback from £120.95
- Paperback / softback from £120.95
Information
-
Download - Immediately Available
- Format:PDF
- Publisher:Springer Netherlands
- Publication Date:06/12/2012
- Category:
- ISBN:9789400906211
